Sweden's Centre-Right Coalition Is Now a Coin Flip
Source: Polymarket market “Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?”
M + KD + L + C: probably not (36%)
Leading outcome
M + KD + L + C 36%
Probably not · Rising · C · tracked 7 days
peak 60% (2d ago) · low 32% (6d ago)
unlikely → probably not
4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
11.8 pts
M + KD + L + C
Traded 24h
$18K
$312K all time
Resolves by
2027-08-01
Source markets
3
3 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
M + KD + L + C
36%
▼
11.8
S + MP + C + V
20%
▲
14.6
S + MP + C
19%
▼
1.5
M + KD + L + SD
10%
▲
0.5
M + KD + L
8%
▲
0.9
S + MP
8%
▼
1.0
Source markets for this story
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Polymarket · Ulf Kristersson 50%
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Polymarket · Centre Party (C) 76% · +0.5 24h
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
Polymarket · M + KD + L + C 36% · -11.8 24h
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