World

Saudi Ground Intervention in Yemen Edges Into Genuine Contention

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?”

probably not (30%)
Resolved The money put December 31, 2026 at 30% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31, 2026 30% Probably not · B
24h move ▲ 3.0 pts December 31, 2026
Traded 24h $34K $55K all time
Resolves by 2027-07-01

Where the money stands

December 31, 2026 30% ▲ 3.0
October 31, 2026 14% ▼ 9.5
October 17, 2026 9% ▼ 4.5
October 10, 2026 6% ▼ 4.0
The Money Talks — The Diplomatic Window Is Still Open — But It's Narrowing Fast
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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very unlikely (3%)

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Flávio Bolsonaro: leaning yes (62%)

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Marine Le Pen: probably not (43%)

Her peak is also her present — she has never been priced higher — yet the field behind her, led by Philippe at 20% and Mélenchon at 14%, means she leads a fragmented race rather than commands it, and the money does not yet see a path to a majority coalition forming against her.

Updated 9:37 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $758K venue Polymarket grade B tracked 67 days range 46% (1d ago) – 29% (66d ago) trending in today's news probably not → a coin flip