World

A Catastrophic Earthquake Before 2027 Remains a Tail Risk

Source: Polymarket market “9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?”

very unlikely (6%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 6% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 6% Very unlikely · Stable · C
24h move ▲ 0.7 pts Yes
Traded 24h $28K $307K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page