A Catastrophic Earthquake Before 2027 Remains a Tail Risk
Source: Polymarket market “9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?”
very unlikely (6%)
Leading outcome
Yes 6%
Very unlikely · Stable · C
24h move
▲
0.7 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$28K
$307K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.