World

A Houthi March Into Aden Is Unlikely This Year

Source: Polymarket market “Houthis enter Aden by...?”

probably not (28%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 28% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31 28% Probably not · Rising · B · tracked 27 days peak 36% (23d ago) · low 23% (14d ago) 5 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 0.5 pts December 31
Traded 24h $28K $466K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 4 3/4 markets agree

Where the money stands

December 31 28% ▼ 0.5
October 31 12% ▼ 2.5

Source markets for this story

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Polymarket · December 31 16% · -1.0 24h
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...? Polymarket · October 4 95% · +2.1 24h
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...? Polymarket · December 31 28% · -3.5 24h
Houthis enter Aden by...? Polymarket · December 31 28% · -0.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page