An Oil Price Spike Above $115 This Year Now Looks Unlikely
Source: Kalshi market “How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?”
unlikely (12%)
Leading outcome
$115.01 or above 12%
Unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 105 days
peak 57% (57d ago) · low 11%
13 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
2.4 pts
$115.01 or above
Traded 24h
$81K
$10.3M all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Source markets
4
4 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
$115.01 or above
12%
▼
2.4
$120.01 or above
8%
▲
0.9
$130.01 or above
5%
▼
1.3
$140.01 or above
4%
▲
0.8
$135.01 or above
4%
0.4
$125.01 or above
2%
▼
3.8
Source markets for this story
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
Polymarket · ↓ $85 85% · -2.1 24h
Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 12, 2026?
Kalshi · Above $79.99 99% · +1.0 24h
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
Kalshi · $115.01 or above 12% · -2.4 24h
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Polymarket · March 31, 2027 14%
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