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An Oil Price Spike Above $115 This Year Now Looks Unlikely

Source: Kalshi market “How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?”

unlikely (12%)
Resolved The money put $115.01 or above at 26% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome $115.01 or above 12% Unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 105 days peak 57% (57d ago) · low 11% 13 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 2.4 pts $115.01 or above
Traded 24h $81K $10.3M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

$115.01 or above 12% ▼ 2.4
$120.01 or above 8% ▲ 0.9
$130.01 or above 5% ▼ 1.3
$140.01 or above 4% ▲ 0.8
$135.01 or above 4% 0.4
$125.01 or above 2% ▼ 3.8

Source markets for this story

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? Polymarket · ↓ $85 85% · -2.1 24h
Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 12, 2026? Kalshi · Above $79.99 99% · +1.0 24h
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026? Kalshi · $115.01 or above 12% · -2.4 24h
Crude Oil all time high by...? Polymarket · March 31, 2027 14%
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page