World

Oil Hitting $115 This Year Is Now a Dead Heat

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?”

a coin flip (49%)
Resolved The money put $115.01 or above at 26% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome $115.01 or above 49% A coin flip · Stable · A · tracked 46 days peak 48% · low 23% (39d ago) probably not → a coin flip 7 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 6.5 pts $115.01 or above
Traded 24h $43K $8.1M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 15 15 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

$115.01 or above 49% ▲ 6.5
$125.01 or above 37% ▲ 8.8
$120.01 or above 37% ▲ 5.5
$130.01 or above 37% ▲ 10.7
$135.01 or above 23% ▲ 0.9
$140.01 or above 20% ▲ 1.9

Source markets for this story

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) Polymarket · September 18 97% · +6.2 24h
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket · December 31 64% · +3.5 24h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 16%
Israel closes its airspace by...? Polymarket · September 30 97%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · September 15 99% · +0.7 24h
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Polymarket · March 31, 2027 57% · -1.0 24h
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? Polymarket · October 31 46% · -0.5 24h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket · December 31 10%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Polymarket · December 31 6%
Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 28%
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026? Kalshi · $115.01 or above 49% · +6.5 24h
Iran full airspace closure by...? Polymarket · December 31 26%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 8%
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Polymarket · No Meeting by September 30 90% · -0.7 24h
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Polymarket · December 31 8%
The Money Talks — The Guns Have Gone Quiet — and the Money Says They'll Stay That Way
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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