The 10-Year Treasury Yield Will Stay Above 4.85% Through Mid-October
Source: Kalshi market “10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
4.86% or above 99%
Virtually certain · B
24h move
0.0 pts
4.86% or above
Traded 24h
$91K
$91K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-15
Today
Source markets
3
3 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
4.86% or above
99%
0.0
4.88% or above
99%
0.0
4.9% or above
99%
0.0
4.92% or above
99%
0.0
4.94% or above
99%
0.0
4.96% or above
99%
0.0
Source markets for this story
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?
Kalshi · 4.86% or above 99%
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket · Below 5.20% 46% · +15.0 24h
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket · 5.4% 28% · -24.0 24h
Get an alert when 10yr Treasury Yield moves.
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