The 10-Year Treasury Yield Will Hold Above 4.55% Through Mid-August
Source: Kalshi market “10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026?”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
4.56% or above 99%
Virtually certain · C
24h move
0.0 pts
4.56% or above
Traded 24h
$31K
$31K all time
Resolves by
2026-08-19
Today
Where the money stands
4.56% or above
99%
0.0
4.58% or above
99%
0.0
4.6% or above
99%
0.0
4.62% or above
97%
0.0
4.64% or above
90%
0.0
4.66% or above
77%
0.0
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