U.S. Unemployment Will Virtually Certainly Exceed 3.8% in September
Source: Kalshi market “Unemployment in September”
virtually certain (98%)
Leading outcome
Above 3.8% 98%
Virtually certain · C
very likely → virtually certain
24h move
▲
1.0 pts
Above 3.8%
Traded 24h
$57K
$107K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-02
Where the money stands
Above 3.8%
98%
▲
1.0
Above 3.7%
97%
0.0
Above 3.9%
92%
0.0
Above 4.0%
72%
▲
6.0
Above 4.1%
42%
▼
1.0
Above 4.2%
17%
▲
5.0
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