U.S.

Trump Will Publicly Name Amazon Before November

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “What companies will Trump say in October?”

virtually certain (98%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put Amazon / AMZN at 98% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Amazon / AMZN 98% Virtually certain · C likely → virtually certain
24h move 0.0 pts Amazon / AMZN
Traded 24h $49K $105K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-01

Where the money stands

Amazon / AMZN 98% 0.0
X / Twitter 24% ▲ 13.0
Anthropic / Claude 1% ▼ 8.0
ChatGPT / OpenAI 1% ▼ 1.0
Airbnb / ABNB 1% 0.0
DoorDash / DASH 1% ▼ 1.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. Democrats Sweep on track to win

Democrats Are Likely to Sweep Both Chambers in 2026

Democrats Sweep: likely (76%)

What had been a lean is now a clear directional call — a Democratic House is already near-certain, and the Senate has crossed into likely territory, making a full sweep the single most probable outcome. The conviction has been volatile enough over the past three months that a further shift remains possible, but the money is no longer hedging.

Updated 3:18 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $7.4M markets read 22 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 96 days range 70% (0d ago) – 44% (94d ago) resolves in 2 days leaning yes → likely 2 tier changes venues disagree 12.8pp
U.S.

Abdul El-Sayed Is Likely to Win Michigan's Senate Race by a Meaningful Margin

likely (77%)

What was a coin flip a week ago is now a likely Democratic hold, and the margin markets suggest the win could be comfortable — the broader Senate picture shows Democrats making gains across multiple states simultaneously, pointing to a wave dynamic rather than isolated upsets.

Updated 2:29 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $391K markets read 43 venue Kalshi grade A tracked 8 days range 73% (1d ago) – 61% (7d ago) a coin flip → likely venues agree
U.S. odds favor Greg Abbott (R)

Greg Abbott Still Leads in Texas, but His Grip Has Weakened Sharply

Greg Abbott (R): leaning yes (61%)

A race that looked safe for Republicans just two months ago has narrowed to a genuine contest — Abbott's lead has eroded from dominant to merely modest, and with Democratic momentum visible across governor races nationally, Texas is no longer a comfortable hold.

Updated 2:29 PM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $550K markets read 28 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 68 days range 86% (67d ago) – 62% (4d ago) resolves in 2 days 3 tier changes venues agree