U.S.Below 38.6% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Appears Headed Below 38.6% by October

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026?”

Below 38.6%: likely (75%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put Below 38.6% at 66% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Below 38.6% 75% Likely · B
24h move 0.0 pts Below 38.6%
Traded 24h $147K $148K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-21 Today
Source markets 2 2 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Below 38.6% 75% 0.0
38.6% 9% 0.0
38.7% 8% 0.0
38.8% 6% 0.0
Above 39.2% 2% 0.0
38.9% 1% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026? Kalshi · Below 38.6% 75%
Trump out as President before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 5%
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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