Finance

No State Is Likely to Enact a Data Center Moratorium This Year

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?”

unlikely (13%)
Leading outcome Yes 13% Unlikely · D a coin flip → unlikely
24h move ▼ 32.4 pts Yes
Traded 24h $18K $35K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Finance

10-Year Treasury Yield Likely Hits 5.2% Before 2027

likely (78%)

What had been a coin flip is now likely — a sharp overnight reprice puts a 5.2% yield within reach, with the 30-year simultaneously flagged at 86% odds of hitting 5.45%. Bond markets are pricing in a sustained high-rate environment, though a market that has crossed conviction rungs 12 times demands caution about treating today's reading as settled.

Updated 10:53 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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The Bank of England Is Likely to Raise Rates 25 Basis Points in November

25 bps increase: likely (84%)

A hold was the consensus just days ago; it has been almost entirely abandoned, and a hike is now the strong expectation — suggesting new inflation or wage data has shifted the committee's calculus sharply before the November meeting.

Updated 10:04 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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Anthropic Very Likely Holds the Top Web Development AI Ranking Through September

Anthropic: very likely (90%)

OpenAI's collapse from co-favorite to near-irrelevance in this ranking reflects a specific, decisive repricing — Anthropic now dominates not just this contest but the broader model-quality landscape through at least October, with its general leadership at 99%.

Updated 10:04 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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traded today $32K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 24 days range 92% (0d ago) – 62% (2d ago) resolves in 5 days likely → very likely 2 tier changes