U.S.odds favor 38.8%

Trump's Approval Rating Appears Stuck Just Below 39% Through Mid-October

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?”

38.8%: leaning yes (67%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put 38.8% at 67% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 38.8% 67% Leaning yes · C · tracked 18 days unlikely → leaning yes
24h move ▲ 42.0 pts 38.8%
Traded 24h $172K $183K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-16

Where the money stands

38.8% 67% ▲ 42.0
Below 38.8% 35% ▲ 11.0
38.9% 3% ▼ 14.0
39.0% 1% ▼ 11.0
39.1% 1% ▼ 6.0
39.2% 1% ▼ 10.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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