U.S.leaning Below 38.5%

Trump's Approval Rating Is a Dead Heat Around 38.5 by October

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026?”

Below 38.5%: a coin flip (52%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Leading outcome Below 38.5% 52% A coin flip · B
24h move 0.0 pts Below 38.5%
Traded 24h $168K $169K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-01 Today
Source markets 2 2 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Below 38.5% 52% 0.0
38.5% 19% 0.0
38.8% 17% 0.0
38.7% 8% 0.0
38.6% 6% 0.0
38.9% 2% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? Kalshi · Below 38.5% 52%
Trump out as President before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 4% · -0.9 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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