Chuck Schumer Is Likely to Reclaim the Senate Democratic Leadership
Source: Kalshi market “Next Senate Democratic Leader?”
Chuck Schumer: likely (87%)
Leading outcome
Chuck Schumer 87%
Likely · Rising · B · tracked 8 days
peak 91% (4d ago) · low 76% (7d ago)
very likely → likely
2 tier changes over tracking period
venues disagree 4.3pp
24h move
▲
4.0 pts
Chuck Schumer
Traded 24h
$495K
$3.4M all time
Resolves by
2028-12-31
Source markets
4
3/4 markets agree
Where the money stands
Chuck Schumer
87%
▲
4.0
Chris Van Hollen
9%
▼
6.7
Brian Schatz
2%
0.1
Elissa Slotkin
1%
0.0
Elizabeth Warren
1%
0.0
Jon Ossoff
1%
▲
0.6
Source markets for this story
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
Kalshi · Chuck Schumer 83%
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
Kalshi · Chuck Schumer 87% · +4.0 24h
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Polymarket · Chuck Schumer 86% · +4.0 24h
120th Congress: Will Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot?
Kalshi · Yes 90% · -2.0 24h
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