U.S.Chuck Schumer on track to win

Chuck Schumer Is Likely to Reclaim the Senate Democratic Leadership

Source: Kalshi market “Next Senate Democratic Leader?”

Chuck Schumer: likely (87%)
Leading outcome Chuck Schumer 87% Likely · Rising · B · tracked 8 days peak 91% (4d ago) · low 76% (7d ago) very likely → likely 2 tier changes over tracking period venues disagree 4.3pp
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts Chuck Schumer
Traded 24h $495K $3.4M all time
Resolves by 2028-12-31
Source markets 4 3/4 markets agree

Where the money stands

Chuck Schumer 87% ▲ 4.0
Chris Van Hollen 9% ▼ 6.7
Brian Schatz 2% 0.1
Elissa Slotkin 1% 0.0
Elizabeth Warren 1% 0.0
Jon Ossoff 1% ▲ 0.6

Source markets for this story

Next Senate Democratic Leader? Kalshi · Chuck Schumer 87% · +4.0 24h
Next Senate Majority Leader? Polymarket · Chuck Schumer 86% · +4.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page