U.S.one clear front-runner

Vance Leads the 2028 Republican Nomination Race as Rubio Closes In

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “2028 Republican presidential nominee”

J.D. Vance: probably not (42%)
Resolved The money put J.D. Vance at 45% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome J.D. Vance 42% Probably not · Stable · B · tracked 86 days peak 46% (34d ago) · low 39% (80d ago) 8 tier changes over tracking period venues disagree 22.8pp
24h move ▼ 1.0 pts J.D. Vance
Traded 24h $384K $70.4M all time
Resolves by 2028-11-07
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

J.D. Vance 42% ▼ 1.0
Marco Rubio 18% 0.0
Ron DeSantis 5% 0.0
Tucker Carlson 3% ▲ 0.8
Donald J. Trump Jr. 3% 0.0
Donald J. Trump 2% 0.3

Source markets for this story

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · J.D. Vance 44%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee Kalshi · Jon Ossoff 16% · +1.0 24h
2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi · J.D. Vance 42% · -1.0 24h
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · +0.9 24h
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Kalshi · J.D. Vance 21% · -1.0 24h
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Polymarket · JD Vance 20%
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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traded today $199K venue Kalshi grade C tracked 73 days range 22% (60d ago) – 15% (3d ago) trending in today's news