The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize Race Is Wide Open
Source: Kalshi market “2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner”
unlikely (12%)
Leading outcome
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) 12%
Unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 9 days
venues agree
24h move
▼
1.0 pts
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
Traded 24h
$54K
$1.1M all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
2
2 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
12%
▼
1.0
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
12%
0.0
Yulia Navalnaya
10%
0.0
Save the Children
10%
▼
1.0
Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
8%
0.0
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
7%
▲
1.0
Source markets for this story
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Polymarket · Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 13% · -1.4 24h
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Kalshi · Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) 12% · -1.0 24h
Get an alert when Nobel Peace Prize 2026 moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.