SportsYordan Álvarez on track to win

AL MVP Winner?

Source: Kalshi market “AL MVP Winner?”

Yordan Álvarez: likely (85%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put Yordan Álvarez at 90% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yordan Álvarez 85% Likely · Falling · A · tracked 44 days peak 93% (3d ago) · low 83% (37d ago) 4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 2.0 pts Yordan Álvarez
Traded 24h $72K $4.5M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-08
Source markets 50 50 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Yordan Álvarez 85% ▼ 2.0
Junior Caminero 10% ▲ 4.0
Cam Schlittler 4% ▼ 4.0
Bobby Witt Jr. 2% ▲ 1.0
Aaron Judge 1% 0.0
Cal Raleigh 1% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Los Angeles D vs Cincinnati Kalshi · Los Angeles D 67% · -1.0 24h
Boston vs Texas Kalshi · Texas 57% · +7.0 24h
Chicago WS vs Cleveland Kalshi · Cleveland 86% · +32.0 24h
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Kalshi · Milwaukee 65% · -4.0 24h
Pro Baseball Champion Kalshi · Los Angeles D 32% · +1.8 24h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Polymarket · Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals 66% · +2.0 24h
Baltimore vs New York M: Home Runs Kalshi · Pete Alonso: 1+ 24%
Baltimore vs New York M Kalshi · New York M 56% · +1.0 24h
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros Polymarket · Kansas City Royals O/U 1.5 78%
Detroit vs Toronto Kalshi · Toronto 58%
Atlanta vs Chicago C Kalshi · Chicago C 57% · +1.0 24h
Los Angeles D vs Cincinnati: Home Runs Kalshi · Kyle Tucker: 2+ 25%
Philadelphia vs Washington Kalshi · Philadelphia 73% · +7.0 24h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Polymarket · Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 64% · -5.0 24h
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers Polymarket · Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 78%
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Polymarket · 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 86%
A's vs Tampa Bay Kalshi · Tampa Bay 69%
Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays Polymarket · Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5 76%
New York Y vs Minnesota Kalshi · New York Y 62%
Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers Kalshi · Boston 99%
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals Polymarket · San Francisco Giants O/U 1.5 78%
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Polymarket · New York Yankees O/U 2.5 74%
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Polymarket · NRFI 100% · +49.0 24h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds Polymarket · 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 71% · +26.5 24h
A's vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs Kalshi · Junior Caminero: 1+ 18%
Atlanta vs Chicago C: Home Runs Kalshi · Matt Olson: 1+ 20%
Kansas City vs Houston: Home Runs Kalshi · Yordan Alvarez: 1+ 25%
Kansas City vs Houston Kalshi · Houston 60%
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Polymarket · 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% · +6.0 24h
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Polymarket · 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76%
Philadelphia vs Washington: Home Runs Kalshi · Kyle Schwarber: 1+ 19%
Detroit vs Toronto: Home Runs Kalshi · Kazuma Okamoto: 1+ 18%
Miami vs Arizona Kalshi · Arizona 58%
Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Home Runs Kalshi · Jo Adell: 1+ 99%
San Francisco vs St. Louis Kalshi · St. Louis 62% · +3.0 24h
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh: Home Runs Kalshi · Jake Bauers: 1+ 15%
Pro Baseball · Games Played in the 2027 Season Kalshi · More than 600 games 82% · -1.0 24h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs Polymarket · 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% · +27.5 24h
San Francisco vs St. Louis: Home Runs Kalshi · Alec Burleson: 1+ 18%
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh: Hits + Runs + RBIs Kalshi · Jackson Chourio: 1+ 77%
Seattle vs Los Angeles A Kalshi · Seattle 62% · +1.0 24h
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh: RBIs Kalshi · Jake Bauers: 1+ 35%
AL MVP Winner? Kalshi · Yordan Álvarez 85% · -2.0 24h
San Diego vs Colorado: Home Runs Kalshi · Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ 22%
New York Y vs Minnesota: Home Runs Kalshi · Ben Rice: 1+ 21%
MLB World Series Champion 2026 Polymarket · Los Angeles Dodgers 32% · +1.0 24h
Los Angeles D vs Cincinnati: Hits + Runs + RBIs Kalshi · Elly De La Cruz: 2+ 99%
Los Angeles D vs Cincinnati: Hits Kalshi · Freddie Freeman: 1+ 99%
American League Champion Kalshi · New York Y 27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels Polymarket · Seattle Mariners O/U 2.5 76%
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page