World7,775 to 7,799.9999 on track to win

The S&P 500 Is Converging on the 7,750 Range for Thursday's Close

Source: Kalshi market “S&P price range on Aug 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?”

7,775 to 7,799.9999: very likely (92%)
Resolved The money put 7,750 to 7,774.9999 at 24% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 7,775 to 7,799.9999 92% Very likely · A · tracked 67 days unlikely → very likely
24h move ▲ 72.0 pts 7,775 to 7,799.9999
Traded 24h $116K $167K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-14

Where the money stands

7,775 to 7,799.9999 92% ▲ 72.0
7,675 to 7,699.9999 4% ▼ 7.0
7,700 to 7,724.9999 4% ▼ 6.0
7,725 to 7,749.9999 4% ▼ 1.0
7,750 to 7,774.9999 4% ▼ 9.0
7,800 to 7,824.9999 4% ▼ 22.0
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