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July 2026 Is Likely Not the Hottest July on Record

Source: Kalshi market “This Jul 2026 is the hottest July ever?”

unlikely (24%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 22% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 24% Unlikely · Falling · C · tracked 69 days peak 22% (68d ago) · low 14% (67d ago) probably not → unlikely
24h move ▼ 5.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $28K $216K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-16
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page