Curiosities

Kash Patel Will Invoke Trump, Epstein, Iran, and Elections at the FBI Hearing

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “What will Kash Patel say during the Senate FBI hearing?”

virtually certain (99%)
Resolved The money put Trump (3+ times) at 99% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Trump (3+ times) 99% Virtually certain · C a coin flip → virtually certain
24h move ▲ 27.0 pts Trump (3+ times)
Traded 24h $51K $55K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-29

Where the money stands

Trump (3+ times) 99% ▲ 27.0
AI / Artificial Intelligence 99% ▲ 15.0
Taxpayer 99% ▲ 36.0
Iran / Iranian 99% ▲ 41.0
Election 99% ▲ 47.0
Epstein 99% ▲ 51.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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I Play Rocky: unlikely (24%)

The fact that real money is pricing a film festival crowd vote as a six-way coin-flip says something about how seriously awards-season bettors now treat prestige festival outcomes — and about how quickly narrative momentum can evaporate when a frontrunner stumbles.

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Curiosities

Trump Is Very Likely to Say 'Fake News' in His North Carolina Remarks

very likely (96%)

What had been a lean is now a near-certainty — 'Fake News' joins 'Biden', 'Communist', and 'MAGA' as phrases the money treats as fixtures of any Trump appearance, suggesting his rhetorical vocabulary has become as predictable as a setlist. AI surged as a surprise addition worth watching.

Updated 7:42 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $50K venue Kalshi grade C trending in today's news leaning yes → very likely
Curiosities

No Alien Disclosure Is Coming Before 2027

very unlikely (6%)

Despite the topic trending in news feeds, the money is unmoved — this is a story the public keeps telling itself that the evidence consistently refuses to confirm, a gap that is itself the curiosity.

Updated 5:26 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $21K venue Polymarket grade B tracked 48 days trending in today's news