Finance

GPT-6 Is Likely Already Released or Imminent Before Mid-September

Source: Kalshi market “When will OpenAI release GPT-6?”

very likely (93%)
Leading outcome Before Sep 16, 2026 93% Very likely · B
24h move 0.0 pts Before Sep 16, 2026
Traded 24h $47K $315K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 2 2 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Before Sep 16, 2026 93% 0.0
Before 2027 70% ▲ 4.0
Before Nov 1, 2026 64% ▲ 9.0
Before Oct 1, 2026 63% ▲ 27.0

Source markets for this story

When will OpenAI release GPT-6? Kalshi · Before Sep 16, 2026 93%
GPT-6 released by…? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 78% · +4.5 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page