Finance

OpenAI's Astra 6.1 Release Timeline Looks Increasingly Uncertain

Source: Kalshi market “When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?”

leaning yes (65%)
Resolved The money put Before Nov 13, 2026 at 65% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Before Nov 13, 2026 65% Leaning yes · A virtually certain → leaning yes
24h move ▼ 19.0 pts Before Nov 13, 2026
Traded 24h $43K $51K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-13
Source markets 8 8 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Before Nov 13, 2026 65% ▼ 19.0
Before Nov 6, 2026 50% ▼ 21.0
Before Oct 30, 2026 30% ▼ 30.0
Before Oct 23, 2026 21% ▼ 34.0
Before Oct 16, 2026 16% 0.0
Before Oct 2, 2026 1% ▼ 12.0

Source markets for this story

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Kalshi · Before Nov 13, 2026 65% · -19.0 24h
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released? Polymarket · October 12–October 18 32% · -2.0 24h
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1470+ 92% · +19.0 24h
AI bubble burst by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 17% · -6.5 24h
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
Gemini 4.0 released by...? Polymarket · November 30 92% · -2.0 24h
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? Polymarket · October 31 74% · +11.0 24h
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? Polymarket · December 31 86% · -6.5 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page