Finance

Gold Is Holding Firmly Above $4,196 — and $4,500 Is Now in Play

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Gold 15 min · $4,416.70 target”

very unlikely (4%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 4% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 4% Very unlikely · B
24h move 0.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $46K $49K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-12
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance odds favor No change

The Fed Looks Set to Hold in September as Hike Bets Fade

No change: leaning yes (56%)

A pause in September is now the narrow consensus, but the bigger story is that cuts are essentially off the table for all of 2026 — the real debate is whether a hike arrives before year-end, with markets still pricing that as a live possibility.

Updated 11:02 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $4.7M markets read 9 venue Polymarket grade A
Finance

GPT-6 Is Very Likely Out Before Year-End — and Sooner Than Anyone Expected

very likely (97%)

The race for AI supremacy is about to reset: even with Claude leading the benchmark rankings now, an imminent GPT-6 arrival puts Anthropic's current dominance on a short clock, and the gap at the frontier could close or flip before autumn.

Updated 11:02 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $348K markets read 12 venue Polymarket grade A
Finance

Bitcoin Is Likely to Reclaim $85,000 Before Year-End

likely (76%)

The floor is firming and the ceiling is rising — money has decisively repriced a collapse scenario off the table while the $90,000 level is now a genuine coin-flip, signaling a recovery thesis that goes well beyond a dead-cat bounce.

Updated 11:02 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $568K markets read 24 venue Polymarket grade A trending in today's news