A Major Earthquake Is Virtually Certain Before September
Source: Kalshi market “How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Sep 1, 2026?”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
7.5+ 99%
Virtually certain · C · tracked 65 days
24h move
▲
1.0 pts
7.5+
Traded 24h
$21K
$79K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-01
Where the money stands
7.5+
99%
▲
1.0
7.6+
99%
▲
1.0
7.7+
99%
▲
2.0
7.8+
40%
▼
12.0
7.9+
25%
▲
5.0
8.0+
8%
▼
5.0
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