World

A Major Earthquake Is Virtually Certain Before September

Source: Kalshi market “How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Sep 1, 2026?”

virtually certain (99%)
Resolved The money put 7.5+ at 99% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 7.5+ 99% Virtually certain · C · tracked 65 days
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts 7.5+
Traded 24h $21K $79K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-01

Where the money stands

7.5+ 99% ▲ 1.0
7.6+ 99% ▲ 1.0
7.7+ 99% ▲ 2.0
7.8+ 40% ▼ 12.0
7.9+ 25% ▲ 5.0
8.0+ 8% ▼ 5.0
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