Sportsodds favor Harry Kane

Harry Kane Leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or Race With the Field Closing In

Source: Kalshi market “Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?”

Harry Kane: leaning yes (55%)
Resolved The money put Harry Kane at 62% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Harry Kane 55% Leaning yes · Rising · B · tracked 53 days peak 71% (22d ago) · low 50% (52d ago) 7 tier changes over tracking period venues disagree 6.2pp
24h move 0.0 pts Harry Kane
Traded 24h $129K $9.2M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 2 2 markets · all agree

Where the money stands

Harry Kane 55% 0.0
Lamine Yamal 24% ▼ 2.0
Lionel Messi 9% ▲ 1.0
Kylian Mbappe 8% 0.0
Rodri 5% ▲ 1.0
Erling Haaland 1% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? Kalshi · Harry Kane 55%
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Polymarket · Harry Kane 56% · +1.4 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page