U.S.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait Traffic Is Likely Recovering This Week

Source: Kalshi market “Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)”

likely (87%)
Leading outcome Above 170 87% Likely · B very unlikely → likely
24h move ▲ 6.0 pts Above 170
Traded 24h $50K $69K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-17 in 5 days
Source markets 3 3 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Above 170 87% ▲ 6.0
Above 175 82% ▲ 77.0
Above 180 77% ▼ 3.0
Above 185 53% ▼ 16.0
Above 190 38% ▼ 11.0
Above 195 36% ▼ 5.0

Source markets for this story

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) Kalshi · Above 170 87% · +6.0 24h
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Polymarket · December 31 6% · -1.0 24h
Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle) Polymarket · December 31 18% · +1.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page