U.S.Phil Scott on track to win

Phil Scott Is Likely to Hold Vermont's Governorship for Republicans

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Vermont Governor winner?”

Phil Scott: likely (84%)
Leading outcome Phil Scott 84% Likely · A leaning yes → likely venues agree
24h move ▼ 9.1 pts Phil Scott
Traded 24h $112K $212K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Phil Scott 84% ▼ 9.1
Amanda Janoo 19% ▲ 13.0

Source markets for this story

Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi · Nithya Raman 57% · -1.0 24h
Vermont Governor winner? Kalshi · Phil Scott 84% · -9.1 24h
Florida Governor winner? Kalshi · Byron Donalds 79% · +5.0 24h
California Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 95%
New Hampshire Governor winner? Kalshi · Kelly Ayotte 91% · +1.1 24h
Florida Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Byron Donalds (R) 78% · +5.5 24h
Los Angeles Mayoral Election Polymarket · Nithya Raman 58%
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

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Democrats Increasingly Favored to Retake the Senate

Democratic Party: leaning yes (64%)

With Ohio and Texas both leaning Democratic and the House already near-certain to flip, the money now prices a full Democratic sweep of Congress at 61% — a unified opposition government that would reshape the final two years of any Republican White House agenda.

Updated 5:34 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $130K markets read 9 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 57 days range 66% (1d ago) – 50% (32d ago) trending in today's news 2 tier changes venues disagree 29.2pp
U.S. odds favor Troy Jackson (D)

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Troy Jackson (D): leaning yes (64%)

Democrats still hold a meaningful edge in Maine, but a 9-point single-day slide — with broader Senate control odds also softening — suggests this is a map-wide tightening, not a local anomaly. A Democratic Senate majority still looks likely but is no longer the comfortable assumption it appeared to be at yesterday's peak.

Updated 9:15 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $281K markets read 19 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 56 days range 74% (1d ago) – 66% (54d ago)
U.S. wide open

Jon Ossoff Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Democratic Race With No Clear Frontrunner

Jon Ossoff: unlikely (17%)

The Democratic Party has no heir apparent — the top three names together barely account for half the field, and J.D. Vance, the likely Republican nominee at 51%, faces a contest against a party still searching for its standard-bearer.

Updated 3:47 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $1.3M markets read 7 venue Kalshi grade A tracked 58 days venues disagree 31.1pp