U.S.Rob Sand on track to win

Rob Sand Is Likely Iowa's Next Governor

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Iowa Governor winner?”

Rob Sand: likely (88%)
Resolved The money put Rob Sand at 76% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Rob Sand 88% Likely · Stable · A · tracked 43 days peak 89% · low 74% (41d ago) very likely → likely 2 tier changes over tracking period venues agree
24h move ▲ 2.0 pts Rob Sand
Traded 24h $293K $1.1M all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Rob Sand 88% ▲ 2.0
Zach Lahn 13% ▼ 3.0

Source markets for this story

Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi · Nithya Raman 59% · -1.0 24h
California Governor winner? (Person) Kalshi · Xavier Becerra 97% · +0.7 24h
Nevada Governor winner? Kalshi · Aaron Ford 52% · +4.0 24h
Iowa Governor winner? Kalshi · Rob Sand 88% · +2.0 24h
Nevada Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Aaron Ford (D) 56% · +4.0 24h
Los Angeles Mayoral Election Polymarket · Nithya Raman 60% · +0.5 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. Democratic Party on track to win

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Democratic Party: very likely (92%)

A full sweep — House and Senate both flipping — is now priced at roughly 60%, meaning the House race is nearly settled in the money's view while the Senate remains genuinely competitive; Texas and Ohio are the fulcrums that separate a wave from a split result.

Updated 8:51 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $345K markets read 10 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 69 days range 94% (2d ago) – 86% (63d ago) trending in today's news 5 tier changes venues disagree 27.4pp
U.S. odds favor James Talarico (D)

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James Talarico (D): leaning yes (64%)

A Democratic win in Texas would signal a broader Senate map expansion; read alongside Democratic leads in Ohio and a strong hold in Alaska, the money now favors a Senate pickup environment that extends well beyond safe territory.

Updated 6:17 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $136K markets read 9 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 67 days range 64% (0d ago) – 50% (22d ago) trending in today's news
U.S. odds favor Aaron Ford (D)

Nevada's Governor Race Is a Dead Heat

Aaron Ford (D): a coin flip (52%)

Aaron Ford and Joe Lombardo are separated by a whisker, and the race has swung dramatically over the past month — whoever wins will do so on the narrowest of margins.

Updated 9:23 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $60K markets read 6 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 37 days range 60% (27d ago) – 48% (20d ago) trending in today's news a coin flip → leaning yes 2 tier changes venues agree