Democrats Are Favored to Retake the U.S. Senate in 2026
Source: Kalshi market “Which party will win the U.S. Senate?”
Democratic Party: leaning yes (62%)
Leading outcome
Democratic Party 62%
Leaning yes · Stable · C · tracked 60 days
peak 65% (3d ago) · low 50% (45d ago)
7 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
0.0 pts
Democratic Party
Traded 24h
$64K
$10.7M all time
Resolves by
2027-02-01
Where the money stands
Democratic Party
62%
0.0
Republican Party
39%
0.0
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