Curiosities

Trump Virtually Certain to Say "Beautiful" at Least Four Times at the Pentagon

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “What will Trump say during remarks at the Pentagon?”

virtually certain (100%)
Resolved The money put Beautiful 4+ times at 100% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Beautiful 4+ times 100% Virtually certain · D leaning yes → virtually certain
24h move ▲ 39.0 pts Beautiful 4+ times
Traded 24h $17K $26K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-11 Today

Where the money stands

Beautiful 4+ times 100% ▲ 39.0
Hundred / Thousand 10+ times 22% ▼ 25.7
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Curiosities one clear front-runner

AI Is Now Expected to Crack Another Millennium Prize Problem — Probably the Hodge Conjecture

Hodge Conjecture: probably not (42%)

The fact that people are staking real money on which unsolved mathematical problem a machine cracks next — and that "no solution" has collapsed as a serious outcome — reveals how thoroughly AI capability has escaped the realm of speculation; OpenAI is the overwhelming institutional favorite, though which problem falls first remains genuinely open.

Updated 10:06 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $47K markets read 6 venue Polymarket grade B leaning yes → probably not
Curiosities odds favor 8

The US Is on Track to Strike Eight Countries in 2026

8: leaning yes (66%)

That people are staking real money on the precise count of nations the US will bomb in a calendar year — and that eight is the modal answer — says something stark about how normalized the scope of American military action has become as a forecasting variable.

Updated 9:17 AM ET ▲ up overnight
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traded today $22K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 44 days range 66% (0d ago) – 42% (43d ago) trending in today's news
Curiosities

Jesus Christ Will Not Return Before 2027

virtually impossible (2%)

Sixty-five million dollars staked on the Second Coming — at 2% — says more about human anxiety than theology; the money is nearly unanimous, but the fact that tens of thousands of dollars flow through this market at all reveals an itch that no amount of rationalism fully scratches.

Updated 8:18 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $13K venue Polymarket grade D tracked 43 days trending in today's news