World

Bab el-Mandeb Shipping Traffic Looks Set to Recover Through Mid-September

Source: Polymarket market “How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?”

190+ ships transiting: leaning yes (60%)
Resolved The money put 190+ ships transiting at 60% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 190+ ships transiting 60% Leaning yes · Rising · D · tracked 46 days peak 88% (44d ago) · low 47% (45d ago) 2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 7.0 pts 190+ ships transiting
Traded 24h $14K $35K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-13

Where the money stands

170-189 30% ▲ 4.0
190-209 25% ▼ 1.5
210-229 24% ▲ 4.5
230+ 12% ▼ 10.0
<170 10% ▼ 12.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page