Bab el-Mandeb Shipping Traffic Looks Set to Recover Through Mid-September
Source: Polymarket market “How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?”
190+ ships transiting: leaning yes (60%)
Leading outcome
190+ ships transiting 60%
Leaning yes · Rising · D · tracked 46 days
peak 88% (44d ago) · low 47% (45d ago)
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
7.0 pts
190+ ships transiting
Traded 24h
$14K
$35K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-13
Where the money stands
170-189
30%
▲
4.0
190-209
25%
▼
1.5
210-229
24%
▲
4.5
230+
12%
▼
10.0
<170
10%
▼
12.0
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