World

Bab el-Mandeb Strait Traffic Is Very Likely to Top 190 Ships the Week of September 7

By Priced In News Staff

190+ ships transiting: very likely (93%)

Leading outcome 190+ ships transiting 93% Very likely · A

24h move 0.0 pts 190+ ships transiting

Traded 24h $21K $21K all time

Resolves by 2026-09-13

Where the money stands

170-189 50% 0.0

190-209 44% 0.0

<170 25% 0.0

230+ 25% 0.0

210-229 24% 0.0

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? Polymarket · Yes 1%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 28% · +1.0 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Polymarket · Yes 3%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? Polymarket · August 31 0%

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 70% · -3.0 24h

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Polymarket · December 31 16% · -1.5 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 8% · -1.0 24h

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? Polymarket · October 31 27% · -6.5 24h

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7? Polymarket · 190+ ships transiting 93%

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 8% · +1.9 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Polymarket · Yes 16% · -1.0 24h

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? Polymarket · September 30 7% · +0.5 24h