World

Israel Is Very Likely Already Conducting Military Action Against Lebanon

Source: Polymarket market “Israel military action against Lebanon on...?”

likely (84%)
Resolved The money put September 11 at 92% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome September 16 84% Likely · Rising · C · tracked 46 days peak 100% (38d ago) · low 50% (45d ago) a coin flip → likely 6 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 13.0 pts September 16
Traded 24h $13K $481K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-01

Where the money stands

September 16 84% ▲ 13.0
September 17 82% ▲ 36.5
September 15 76% ▼ 15.0
September 22 76% ▲ 26.0
September 19 74% ▲ 22.0
September 25 74% ▲ 22.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page