Israel Is Very Likely Already Conducting Military Action Against Lebanon
Source: Polymarket market “Israel military action against Lebanon on...?”
likely (84%)
Leading outcome
September 16 84%
Likely · Rising · C · tracked 46 days
peak 100% (38d ago) · low 50% (45d ago)
a coin flip → likely
6 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
13.0 pts
September 16
Traded 24h
$13K
$481K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-01
Where the money stands
September 16
84%
▲
13.0
September 17
82%
▲
36.5
September 15
76%
▼
15.0
September 22
76%
▲
26.0
September 19
74%
▲
22.0
September 25
74%
▲
22.0
The Money Talks —
Israel's Airspace Is Very Likely Closing Before September
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