Russia Is Very Likely Targeting Kyiv Again
Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia target Kyiv on...?”
very likely (97%)
Leading outcome
September 8 97%
Very likely · B
24h move
▲
17.6 pts
September 8
Traded 24h
$17K
$47K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-30
Source markets
11
11 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
September 8
97%
▲
17.6
September 9
81%
▲
5.5
September 10
76%
▲
2.0
September 15
74%
▲
18.0
September 14
74%
▲
3.5
September 11
73%
▲
1.0
Source markets for this story
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Polymarket · United Russia (ER) 68% · -1.0 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 14% · -1.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
Polymarket · December 31 63% · -1.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Polymarket · Yes 1%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 8%
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
Polymarket · September 8 97% · +17.6 24h
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
Polymarket · October 31 99% · +0.6 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Polymarket · December 31 12%
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Polymarket · December 31 12% · -10.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Polymarket · December 31 84% · -4.0 24h
The Money Talks —
A NATO-Russia Clash by 2026 Is a Tail Risk, Not a Coming War
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