Russia Is Unlikely to Order Forced Mobilization This Year
Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?”
probably not (26%)
Leading outcome
December 31 26%
Probably not · Falling · B · tracked 29 days
peak 36% (28d ago) · low 25% (22d ago)
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
1.0 pts
December 31
Traded 24h
$14K
$305K all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
8
8 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
December 31
26%
▼
1.0
October 31
14%
▼
4.0
September 30
3%
▼
0.9
Source markets for this story
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket · December 31 32% · +4.0 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 12% · -1.0 24h
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Polymarket · Dopropillia 97% · +8.1 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 71%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?
Polymarket · December 31 97% · +8.2 24h
F1 Drivers' Champion
Polymarket · Kimi Antonelli 93% · +0.7 24h
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
Polymarket · December 31 26% · -1.0 24h
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 6%
The Money Talks —
A NATO-Russia Clash by 2026 Is a Tail Risk, Not a Coming War
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