Berlin's SPD Is Now a Coin Flip to Clear 10% in the State Election
Source: Polymarket market “Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?”
10-13%: leaning yes (55%)
Leading outcome
10-13% 55%
Leaning yes · B
likely → leaning yes
24h move
▲
17.5 pts
10-13%
Traded 24h
$14K
$54K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-20
in 2 days
Source markets
7
7 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
10-13%
55%
▲
17.5
<10%
24%
▼
28.8
13-16%
11%
▲
1.6
16%+
7%
▲
5.9
Source markets for this story
Berlin State Election Winner
Polymarket · Linke 66% · -1.0 24h
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2026 26% · +7.0 24h
Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?
Polymarket · 10-13% 55% · +17.5 24h
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Polymarket · Ulrich Siegmund 46% · +4.0 24h
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Polymarket · SPD 58% · -17.5 24h
Berlin State Election: 2nd Place
Polymarket · CDU 56% · +12.0 24h
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
Polymarket · Over/Under 81% · -3.5 24h
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