Curiosities

Lindsay Clancy Is Unlikely to Be Convicted of Murder

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?”

probably not (30%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 25% when this article was published. This market has since closed.
Leading outcome Yes 30% Probably not · Rising · D
24h move ▼ 4.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $18K $100K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Curiosities all but decided

The Iranian Rial Has Stabilized Around 2.1–2.2 Million per Dollar

2.1-2.2M: very likely (95%)

That people stake real money on the precise band of a sanctions-crushed currency says something about who is watching: traders, diaspora, and sanctions-monitors who need a crowd-sourced fix on a rate no official will publish cleanly.

Updated 4:37 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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Alex Warren's 'Wildchild' Will Likely Debut Between 70k and 90k Copies

70-90k: likely (84%)

That first-week sales figures for a mid-tier pop album now attract real money — and move 70 points in a single day on what appears to be confirmed data — reveals how prediction markets have become a parallel tracking system for the music industry's weekly ritual of chart anxiety.

Updated 7:02 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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traded today $10K venue Polymarket grade D resolves in 4 days
Curiosities wide open

Jack Lowden Leads a Genuinely Unsettled Bond Race

Jack Lowden: unlikely (23%)

A one-in-five chance of no Bond being named at all through year-end is itself the signal — the franchise has no settled direction, and Lowden's narrow lead reflects a process still firmly in flux rather than a coronation approaching.

Updated 10:52 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $17K venue Polymarket grade D