Curiosities

Warsh Will Talk Productivity, Regime Change, and Challenge at Jackson Hole

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?”

likely (78%)
Leading outcome Productivity 78% Likely · D
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts Productivity
Traded 24h $16K $17K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-28

Where the money stands

Productivity 78% ▲ 4.0
Challenge 71% ▲ 31.5
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times 67% ▼ 0.5
Regime 67% ▲ 38.5
Independent / Independence 65% ▼ 17.5
Good Morning 59% ▲ 13.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Curiosities

Curiosities

No Alien Disclosure Is Coming Before 2027

very unlikely (6%)

Despite the topic trending in news feeds, the money is unmoved — this is a story the public keeps telling itself that the evidence consistently refuses to confirm, a gap that is itself the curiosity.

Updated 5:26 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $21K venue Polymarket grade C
Curiosities

Jesus Christ Will Not Return Before 2027

virtually impossible (2%)

Sixty-five million dollars staked on the Second Coming — at 2% — says more about human anxiety than theology; the money is nearly unanimous, but the fact that tens of thousands of dollars flow through this market at all reveals an itch that no amount of rationalism fully scratches.

Updated 8:18 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $13K venue Polymarket grade C
Curiosities

A U.S. Alien Confirmation Remains Unlikely Before 2029

unlikely (23%)

That nearly a quarter of staked money accepts even the longest odds on official disclosure reveals how seriously the question is now taken — what was once a fringe bet has become a mainstream speculation, a mirror of how far UAP discourse has traveled from the margins.

Updated 4:36 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $78K venue Kalshi grade C