Finance

The Next Claude Opus Model Is Virtually Certain to Score 1500-Plus

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?”

virtually certain (100%)
Resolved The money put 1500+ at 88% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 1500+ 100% Virtually certain · Stable · B · tracked 4 days peak 85% (1d ago) · low 78% (3d ago) probably not → virtually certain venues disagree 9.4pp
24h move ▲ 13.5 pts 1500+
Traded 24h $61K $208K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 11 11 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

1500+ 100% ▲ 13.5
1505+ 100% ▲ 24.4
1515+ 100% ▲ 65.5
1510+ 100% ▲ 37.6
1520+ 1% ▼ 13.3

Source markets for this story

Best Chinese AI Company end of September? Polymarket · Xiaomi 87% · +86.2 24h
Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Claude 75% · +3.1 24h
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th Kalshi · Xiaomi 90% · +88.0 24h
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1500+ 100% · +13.5 24h
DeepSeek market share this week Kalshi · Above 23.0% 99%
Xiaomi market share this week Kalshi · Above 1.8% 99% · +1.0 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of September? Polymarket · Anthropic 99%
Best Chinese AI Company end of October? Polymarket · Alibaba 50% · -13.5 24h
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1450+ 0% · -69.5 24h
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? Polymarket · 45%+ 91% · +2.5 24h
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1480+ 1% · -1.8 24h
The Money Talks — GPT-6 Is Very Likely Here Before Year-End — and Sooner Than Anyone Expected
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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