Finance

The Next Claude Opus Model Is Very Likely to Clear a 45% Score on Humanity's Last Exam

Source: Polymarket market “Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?”

very likely (91%)
Leading outcome 45%+ 91% Very likely · C likely → very likely
24h move ▲ 5.8 pts 45%+
Traded 24h $23K $60K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 2 2 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

45%+ 91% ▲ 5.8
50%+ 90% ▲ 3.2
55%+ 47% ▲ 9.0
60%+ 6% ▼ 1.5

Source markets for this story

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1505+ 98% · +19.4 24h
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? Polymarket · 45%+ 91% · +5.8 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page