The Next Claude Opus Model Is Very Likely to Clear a 45% Score on Humanity's Last Exam
Source: Polymarket market “Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?”
very likely (91%)
Leading outcome
45%+ 91%
Very likely · C
likely → very likely
24h move
▲
5.8 pts
45%+
Traded 24h
$23K
$60K all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
2
2 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
45%+
91%
▲
5.8
50%+
90%
▲
3.2
55%+
47%
▲
9.0
60%+
6%
▼
1.5
Source markets for this story
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
Polymarket · 1505+ 98% · +19.4 24h
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
Polymarket · 45%+ 91% · +5.8 24h
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