A US Recession by Year-End Is Unlikely but No Longer Remote
Source: Polymarket market “US recession by end of 2026?”
unlikely (13%)
Leading outcome
Yes 13%
Unlikely · C
very unlikely → unlikely
24h move
▲
3.5 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$62K
$1.8M all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
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