Ciro Nogueira Edges Ahead in a Knife-Edge Piauí Senate Race
Source: Polymarket market “Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place”
Ciro Nogueira: leaning yes (56%)
Leading outcome
Ciro Nogueira 56%
Leaning yes · D · tracked 60 days
unlikely → leaning yes
24h move
▲
44.0 pts
Ciro Nogueira
Traded 24h
$16K
$19K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-04
Where the money stands
Ciro Nogueira
56%
▲
44.0
Marcelo Castro
42%
▲
8.5
Julio Cesar
3%
▼
3.4
Antônio Barros
0%
▼
3.4
Antônio José Lira
0%
▼
8.8
Francinaldo Leão
0%
▼
7.2
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.