World

Sweden's Liberals Are on the Edge of Losing Parliamentary Representation

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?”

a coin flip (48%)
Leading outcome Yes 48% A coin flip · C
24h move ▼ 0.5 pts Yes
Traded 24h $37K $70K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-13
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from World

World

Israel Is Likely to Strike Lebanon on September 3

likely (80%)

A diplomatic meeting by month's end is simultaneously priced at 88%, suggesting the military action is seen as a pressure tactic rather than the opening of a sustained campaign — force and diplomacy running in parallel, not sequence.

Updated 12:08 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $162K markets read 3 venue Polymarket grade B
World odds favor Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Lula Leads Brazil's 2026 Race as Flávio Bolsonaro Closes In

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: leaning yes (56%)

The right is consolidating behind Flávio Bolsonaro as its standard-bearer, but Lula's 56% hold means the race remains his to lose — a second-round rematch between the two looks increasingly like the story Brazil is heading toward.

Updated 10:49 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $845K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade A
World leaning Gadi Eizenkot

Eizenkot Leads Israel's Post-Election Race with Netanyahu Closing In

Gadi Eizenkot: a coin flip (50%)

Netanyahu's surge suggests the war's political fallout is not as fatal to him as his opponents hoped — but Eizenkot's 50% share means Israel's next government still has no clear architect, leaving the post-conflict political order genuinely unsettled.

Updated 6:49 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $137K venue Polymarket grade C trending in today's news