World

Qatar's Foreign Minister Likely to Join US-Iran Talks as Diplomatic Traffic Surges

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?”

leaning yes (57%)
Resolved The money put Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi at 44% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Steve Witkoff 57% Leaning yes · Stable · A · tracked 51 days peak 98% (6d ago) · low 24% (22d ago) unlikely → leaning yes 16 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 41.5 pts Steve Witkoff
Traded 24h $53K $1.2M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 17 17 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Steve Witkoff 57% ▲ 41.5
Jared Kushner 56% ▲ 39.5
Abbas Araghchi 55% ▲ 29.0
Majid Takht-Ravanchi 49% ▲ 28.5
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani 48% ▲ 32.5
Ishaq Dar 22% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 16% · +1.0 24h
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Polymarket · Yes 19% · -6.0 24h
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · October 7 90% · +1.5 24h
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket · March 31 71% · -0.5 24h
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Polymarket · December 31 18% · +0.5 24h
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 73% · -1.0 24h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Polymarket · December 31 6%
Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 22% · -1.0 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket · December 31 14%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · October 31 80% · -2.0 24h
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? Polymarket · Steve Witkoff 57% · +41.5 24h
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...? Polymarket · November 30 84% · +24.0 24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Polymarket · Yes 0%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 52% · -3.5 24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 2%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31 42% · -6.5 24h
The Money Talks — The US-Iran Diplomatic Calendar Probably Has Room for One More Meeting
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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