U.S. Annual Inflation in August Is a Dead Heat Around 3.4%
Source: Polymarket market “August Inflation US - Annual”
3.4%: a coin flip (49%)
Leading outcome
3.4% 49%
A coin flip · B
24h move
▲
3.5 pts
3.4%
Traded 24h
$19K
$102K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-11
in 1 day
Source markets
5
5 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
3.4%
49%
▲
3.5
3.3%
30%
▼
1.0
3.5%
14%
▼
1.5
3.6%
3%
▲
1.1
3.2%
3%
▼
3.8
3.1%
1%
0.1
Source markets for this story
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
Kalshi · Above 2.5% 99%
CPI in August
Kalshi · Above -0.4% 99%
August Inflation US - Monthly
Polymarket · 0.4% 52% · +2.0 24h
August Inflation US - Annual
Polymarket · 3.4% 49% · +3.5 24h
Core CPI MoM - August 2026
Polymarket · 0.2% 64% · +2.5 24h
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