World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

By Priced In News Staff

virtually impossible (0%)

Leading outcome Yes 0% Virtually impossible · Falling · B · tracked 69 days peak 14% (68d ago) · low 0% (32d ago) 4 tier changes over tracking period

24h move 0.0 pts Yes

Traded 24h $15K $2.5M all time

Resolves by 2026-09-15

Source markets for this story

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · October 18 100% · +2.8 24h

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · October 18 100% · +1.7 24h

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 4% · -1.0 24h

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 16%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket · March 31 58% · +0.5 24h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Polymarket · Yes 78% · +1.0 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 1%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 12% · +1.0 24h

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 65%

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) Kalshi · Above 10 98%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 8% · -1.0 24h

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Polymarket · December 31 6% · +1.0 24h

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 1%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms? Polymarket · No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 65% · +0.8 24h

Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 25% · +0.5 24h

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket · December 31 12% · -1.0 24h

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 96%

Iran full airspace closure by...? Polymarket · December 31 32% · -1.0 24h

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31 30%