World3 on track to win

This Week's Global Seismic Activity Has Likely Settled at Three Major Quakes

Source: Polymarket market “How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?”

3: likely (82%)
Resolved The money put 3 at 72% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 3 82% Likely · D · tracked 65 days very unlikely → likely
24h move ▲ 75.3 pts 3
Traded 24h $16K $34K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-17

Where the money stands

3 82% ▲ 75.3
4 15% ▲ 13.6
5 3% ▲ 2.7
>5 2% ▲ 1.8
2 1% ▼ 20.4
0 0% 0.4
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page