2026 Is Very Likely to Be the Hottest Year on Record
Source: Polymarket market “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?”
1: likely (88%)
Leading outcome
1 88%
Likely · Rising · C · tracked 96 days
peak 92% (1d ago) · low 49% (94d ago)
very likely → likely
9 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
4.0 pts
1
Traded 24h
$22K
$3.9M all time
Resolves by
2027-03-02
Where the money stands
1
88%
▼
4.0
2
8%
0.0
3
0%
0.1
4
0%
0.0
5
0%
0.1
6 or lower
0%
0.0
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