The Next Grok Model Will Clear the 1440 Arena Threshold by Year-End
Source: Polymarket market “Next Grok Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?”
virtually certain (98%)
Leading outcome
1440+ 98%
Virtually certain · C
24h move
▲
3.8 pts
1440+
Traded 24h
$25K
$45K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Where the money stands
1440+
98%
▲
3.8
1450+
8%
▼
77.0
1460+
4%
▼
63.9
1480+
3%
▼
3.2
1470+
2%
▼
22.5
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