World

Typhoon Dolphin Likely Strikes Japan at Full Typhoon Strength

Source: Polymarket market “What intensity will Typhoon Dolphin have at landfall in Japan?”

Leading outcome Typhoon 77% Likely · C
24h move ▲ 28.5 pts Typhoon
Traded 24h $18K $19K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-16
Source markets 3 3 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Typhoon 77% ▲ 28.5
No Qualifying Landfall 14% ▼ 15.5
Very Strong Typhoon 6% ▼ 8.0
Severe Tropical Storm 1% ▼ 6.8
Tropical Storm 0% 0.2
Violent Typhoon 0% ▼ 3.8

Source markets for this story

Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Polymarket · Yes 95% · -0.5 24h
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? Polymarket · Yes 88% · +19.4 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page