Typhoon Dolphin Likely Strikes Japan at Full Typhoon Strength
Source: Polymarket market “What intensity will Typhoon Dolphin have at landfall in Japan?”
Leading outcome
Typhoon 77%
Likely · C
24h move
▲
28.5 pts
Typhoon
Traded 24h
$18K
$19K all time
Resolves by
2026-08-16
Source markets
3
3 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Typhoon
77%
▲
28.5
No Qualifying Landfall
14%
▼
15.5
Very Strong Typhoon
6%
▼
8.0
Severe Tropical Storm
1%
▼
6.8
Tropical Storm
0%
0.2
Violent Typhoon
0%
▼
3.8
Source markets for this story
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
Polymarket · Yes 95% · -0.5 24h
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?
Polymarket · Yes 88% · +19.4 24h
What intensity will Typhoon Dolphin have at landfall in Japan?
Polymarket · Typhoon 77% · +28.5 24h
Get an alert when Super Typhoon Dolphin moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.